Miami (Ohio)
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
159  Jess Hoover JR 20:16
315  Melissa Girgis JR 20:39
560  Laura Bess SO 21:03
579  Anna Lamb JR 21:05
621  Julia Valencia SO 21:08
696  Elisa Frazier JR 21:13
1,057  Brenna Poulsen JR 21:37
1,151  Mattie Moncayo SO 21:42
1,493  Alex Chitwood JR 22:03
National Rank #75 of 340
Great Lakes Region Rank #9 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 1.1%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 1.1%
Top 10 in Regional 74.1%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jess Hoover Melissa Girgis Laura Bess Anna Lamb Julia Valencia Elisa Frazier Brenna Poulsen Mattie Moncayo Alex Chitwood
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/05 1001 20:17 20:53 21:17 20:54 21:34 21:42
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 923 20:07 20:33 21:01 21:15 21:07 21:14 21:31
Mid-American Championships 11/02 803 20:18 20:27 20:34 20:33 21:01 20:58 21:47 21:32 22:03
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/15 1029 20:23 20:46 21:16 21:49 21:17 21:30 21:57





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 1.1% 28.8 696 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3
Region Championship 100% 9.4 279 0.1 1.0 3.2 9.7 19.4 21.6 19.1 12.7 7.6 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jess Hoover 25.2% 113.4 0.0 0.0
Melissa Girgis 1.6% 147.0
Laura Bess 1.1% 208.8
Anna Lamb 1.1% 210.8
Julia Valencia 1.1% 213.8
Elisa Frazier 1.1% 222.9
Brenna Poulsen 1.1% 245.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jess Hoover 24.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.4 1.4 1.9 1.9 2.6 2.9 3.5 3.5 3.9 4.2 4.6 4.3 5.0 4.8 4.8
Melissa Girgis 42.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.1
Laura Bess 68.9
Anna Lamb 70.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
Julia Valencia 75.0
Elisa Frazier 81.4
Brenna Poulsen 108.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.1% 60.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4
5 1.0% 38.8% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.4 5
6 3.2% 18.6% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.6 0.6 6
7 9.7% 0.6% 0.0 0.0 9.6 0.1 7
8 19.4% 19.4 8
9 21.6% 21.6 9
10 19.1% 19.1 10
11 12.7% 12.7 11
12 7.6% 7.6 12
13 3.6% 3.6 13
14 1.5% 1.5 14
15 0.5% 0.5 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 98.9 0.0 1.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Baylor 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Toledo 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Tennessee 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Southern Illinois 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0